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Oscar Preview: 83rd Annual Academy Award Predictions

February 22, 2011 1 comment

Who will take home gold on Oscar sunday? picture from oscars.org

The Oscars are this Sunday and the 83rd Annual Academy Awards will be hosted by Anne Hathaway and James Franco. Every year we see new faces rise with recognition while familiar ones receive honors of their own. The question is will any of your favorites get to bring home the gold?

 Best Picture 127 Hours, Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids Are Alright, The King’s Speech, The Social Network, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winter’s Bone

Prediction – The Academy always falls in love with two things, period pieces and English accents, conveniently this film has both. For months it looked like The Social Network would dominate awards season, but we’ve seen it fall into the shadow of The King’s Speech which has all the momentum (12 Oscar nominations) and buzz to take home the big prize.

Actor in a leading roleJavier Bardem for Biutiful, Jeff Bridges for True Grit, Jessie Eisenberg for The Social Network, Colin Firth for The King’s Speech, James Franco for 127 Hours

Prediction – Jeff Bridges was brilliant as Rooster Cogburn in True Grit but the Academy isn’t going to crown him for the second year in a row (a feat only Tom Hanks has pulled off). Jessie Eisenberg made The Social Network a fascinating film and James Franco wowed in 127 Hours, but both actors have long careers ahead of them. Last year Colin Firth was nominated in this category for the first time for his role in A Single Man, but it was Bridges’ award to lose, this time the tables are turned and it should be Firth who goes home with the Award.

Actress in a leading roleAnnete Benning for The Kids Are Alright, Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole, Jennifer Lawrence for Winter’s Bone, Natalie Portman for Black Swan, Michele Williams for Blue Valentine

Prediction – All the nominees in this category are worthy of the category but none carry the momentum of Natalie Portman’s performance in Black Swan. She’s brilliant in the film and it’s the sort of role the academy loves to recognize (meaning its a little crazy). Few nominees are as much of a lock as Portman is here.

Bale recieved a best supporting actor nod for The Fighter, picture from screenrant.com

Actor in a supporting roleChristian Bale for The Fighter, John Hawkes for Winter’s Bone, Jeremy Renner for The Town, Mark Ruffalo for The Kids Are Alright, Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech

Prediction – Christian Bale steals the show in The Fighter, his performance is stunning and it should be enough to grant his victory. Jeremy Renner was another scene stealer in The Town but his performance may not be close enough to the front of voter’s mind’s to make him a serious dark horse. The man who could challenge Bale here is Geoffrey Rush, who’ll benefit simply from being in the spot light the awards season has put on The King’s Speech.

Actress in a supporting roleAmy Adams for The Fighter, Helena Bonham Carter for The King’s Speech, Melissa Leo for The Fighter, Hailee Steinfeld for True Grit, Jacki Weaver for Animal Kingdom

Prediction – Here it’s Melissa Leo in The Fighter who has the most buzz and she does give a performance worth of recognition. Another name to watch is Hailee Steinfeld for her role in True Grit, the Academy likes to dote on new comers in this category and the 14 year old certainly fits that bill. Steinfeld is worthy of recognition but the crime here is that she is no supporting actress, you’d think being the only actress with a major speaking role and being in every scene of the film would make her a lead actress… I guess the Academy feels otherwise. Watch for Leo’s name to be pulled from the envelope on Sunday night but don’t be surprised if Steinfeld gets called to the stage either.

Christopher Nolan is the missing nominee for Best Director, photo from obsessedwithfilm.com

Best DirectorDarren Aronofsky for Black Swan, Ethan and Joel Coen for True Grit, David Fincher for The Social Network, Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech, David O. Russell for The Fighter

Prediction – Another category where all the nominees are worthy of recognition but after winning the Directors Guild Award for The King’s Speech, Tom Hooper has this one practically gift wrapped. This doesn’t upset me, what upsets me is who’s wasn’t nominated. Christopher Nolan’s Inception was one of the most original films in year and was recognized with eight nominations, but not this one. Again the academy denies Nolan a nomination because he makes big budget films and they should be ashamed of themselves.